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Trouble In CSI Paradise As We Look At CBS Shows

Find out what is coming back, and what might not, in our Inside Blip analysis

CBS has dominated the television season this year, so it's hard to find much of anything to pierce this very strong armor.

And I wish I could say we did, but we really didn't. Sure, there was that show from Paula Abdul that no one watched. A couple of lawyers tried to be funny in the courtroom, which didn't go well with CBS' mostly serious crowd. And no one seemed to be mad for love.

What might be surprising is that there are a couple of CSI shows that have actually moved to "bubble" status. Now, I'm not saying they are going to get canned. But what I am saying is that they have not performed well this year (although one did get moved to Fridays, so we have to be kind). And that's enough to at least make a good CBS executive sit up and notice before stamping renewal on it.

SAFE BET
Blue Bloods
CBS had a lot of great new shows this year, but none really shined like this Tom Selleck vehicle. It took over Friday nights, and really took over Friday nights. It's 7.0 rating/13 share average in Fast National overnight ratings from The Nielsen Co., is 43 percent better than what CBS did in that timeslot last year ... and they were the best of all the networks on Friday last year, so that's saying a lot.

CSI
The audience is down 9 percent from last year, but it's still in television's Top 10, so this one isn't going anywhere.

Criminal Minds
Like CSI, there has been some audience erosion, but it's been minimal. Plus, another show in the overall Top 10, so it'll be sticking around for a while.

The Good Wife
The sophomore season hasn't been all that friendly to this show, losing nearly 10 percent of its audience. But it still has buzz factor -- and a solid stable of viewers -- so there's no doubt this show will return.

Hawaii Five-0
Some have this on the bubble, but I don't. It's not just a name brand for CBS, it's an icon, and its ratings have been very strong for a new show. In fact, it's right up there with "Blue Bloods" and "Mike & Molly" among the top new shows of the year (separated by just a tenth of a ratings point), so I'm very much expecting to see a full second season order for this.

The Mentalist
I still don't know a single person who watches this, but I guess I just know the wrong people. Its numbers dropped 5 percent from last year, but it's CBS' No. 3 show, and it's television's No. 5 show.

Mike & Molly
By far the best new comedy of the year in terms of ratings, and although it's struggled late after losing its "Two and a Half Men" lead-in, CBS is not going to let this one go.

NCIS: Los Angeles
"NCIS" got an official pickup, but not yet this spinoff, despite being flat from the previous year. But no worries, it's rated extremely high, and it ain't going anywhere.

Two and a Half Men
There is no Charlie Sheen (yet), but with or without him, this is a big ratings winner for CBS, and it will find a way to keep it on the air one way or the other.

Undercover Boss
It lost 29 percent of its viewers from its freshman season, but I wouldn't be the first to tell you that last year, it was highly over-rated. Now it's in the slot it needs to be. However, you do have to wonder -- aren't companies going to eventually catch-on, and realize the guy with all the cameras around him is your CEO?

STILL BOUNCING
Criminal Minds: Suspect Behavior
The numbers aren't terribly bad for a new show, but it's pulling in just 80 percent of the audience its parent show gets. And it's very weak at 10 p.m., falling well below what CBS did there last year, and what "Blue Bloods" did in the time slot in January and February. But then again, it is doing better than "The Defenders" did there.

CSI: Miami
Blasphemy! How dare I put a CSI show on the bubble? Well, don't worry, it's on the good part of the bubble, meaning I have some confidence it has been renewed. But it deserves to be here because it's lost more than 15 percent of its audience from last year, it's behind "Hawaii Five-0" and two other new CBS programs, and it barely made the Top 20. But I'm sure it will come back.

CSI: New York
Blasphemy! How dare ... oh, I already did that opening? It would not make sense for me to put "CSI: Miami" on the list without putting "CSI: New York" here. This show has lost 21 percent of its audience from last year, and is pulling in similar ratings to "$#*! My Dad Says."

Rules of Engagement
The audience is growing, but it's still close to CBS' basement. It likely will come back, but not after a little bit of thought from the CBS executives.

$#*! My Dad Says
It has William Shatner in it, and ratings weren't terribly bad ... considering critics were not very fond of it. Plus, it has William Shatner in it.

ABOUT TO POP
The Defenders
This show just never found its footing. CBS tried it on different nights, and it seemed to lose more and more viewers every time it made a move. Maybe the moving was bad, it's hard to tell. Yet, after its first season, only 77 percent of its total audience returned each and every week, according to the GenreNexus Audience Loyalty Index. That's not very good. Neither is its No. 33 ranking among all television shows, considering CBS only goes as low as No. 49.

GONER
Live To Dance
Paula Abdul was the main star on this show. You remember her, right? From "American Idol"? Stealing a joke from "30 Rock," this show might have done better if it featured Paula watching "American Idol" each night.

Mad Love
We are only using numbers through March 31, but they get worse in April. It's CBS' worst-performing new show, and it did slightly better than the already-gone "Medium" and the almost-definitely-gone "Live To Dance." So, see ya!

ALREADY RENEWED
Amazing Race
Big Bang Theory
How I Met Your Mother
NCIS
Survivor

OFFICIALLY GONE
Medium

Top CBS Shows (% Last Year) -- Overall -- [Audience Loyalty Index]
Through March 31

1.    NCIS (+3.2)     3    11.9/19    [90.0]
2.    NCIS: Los Angeles (0.0)    4    9.9/15    [89.2]
3.    The Mentalist (-5.4)    5    9.0/15    [94.6]
4.    Two and a Half Men (-4.5)    7    8.6/13    [91.4]
5.    CSI (-8.8)    8    8.3/13    [93.3]
6.    Criminal Minds (-2.4)    9    8.2/13    [93.1]
7.    Big Bang Theory (-7.9)    10    7.7/13    [93.2]
7.    The Good Wife (-9.7)    10    7.7/13    [92.5]
9.    Mike & Molly (NA)    15    7.2/11    [90.6]
10.    Blue Bloods (NA)    16    7.1/13    [90.0]

Bottom CBS Shows (% Last Year) -- Overall -- [ALI]
Through March 31

1.    Medium (-12.6)    49    4.3/8    [89.3]
2.    Live To Dance (NA)    48    4.4/7    [68.2]
3.    Mad Love (NA)    47    4.5/7    [82.8]
4.    Rules of Engagement (+4.1)    40    5.3/8    [88.5]
5.    How I Met Your Mother (+1.1)    34    5.6/9    [88.3]

Fast Nationals usually provide a snapshot of what Americans are watching by pulling numbers from the top urban markets that include both live viewing and same-day timeshifted viewing. A rating point generally represents more than 1.1 million households while the share indicates the percentage of televisions turned on that was tuned to the specific program. These numbers typically shift when final ratings are issued.

Data collected from The Nielsen Co., as distributed by Zap2it. GenreNexus tracks non-news, non-event programming, and figures for this story reflect airing of new episodes only. For more information on the Audience Loyalty Index, click here.

About the Author

Michael Hinman is the founder and editor-in-chief for Airlock Alpha and the entire GenreNexus. He owns Nexus Media Group Inc., the parent corporation of the GenreNexus and is a veteran print journalist. He lives in Tampa, Fla.
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